Foreclosures and short sales (ie. lender-mediated properties) continued to increase their market share in the Twin Cities housing market during the the third quarter of 2008, now accounting for 28.1% of all active listings, 34.1% of Q3 new listings and 34.5% of Q3 closed sales. Theses statistic are according to a recent report published by Jeff Allen and Aaron Dickinson from the Minneapolis Area Association of Realtors.
Their full report can be read by clicking here: foreclosures-and-short-sales-in-the-twin-cities-housing-market.pdf
The Top 10 Communities Experiencing the Worst Impact by Foreclosures Are:
- Minneapolis - NORTH: 67% (% of foreclosure sales YTD)
- St. Paul - CENTRAL: 67%
- Minneapolis - CAMDEN: 66%
- Brooklyn Center: 64%
- St. Paul - PHALEN: 52.4%
- Big Lake Twp: 52%
- Brooklyn Park: 49.5%
- Coon Rapids: 47.6%
- Hilltop/Columbia Hghts: 45.8%
- MPLS - POWDERHORN: 45.2%
**Note: There are other smaller towns with fewer sales that had higher percentages. For the purposes of this list, I used areas with over 100 toal sales year to date.
The property types (ie. Single Family Detached, Town homes, or Condominiums) that the foreclosure phenomenon is having the worst effect on are townhomes. The number of townhomes that have gone into foreclosure has doubled year over year. Last year there were 847 town homes sales that were lender mediated through the month of October. This year the numbers are up 97% with a total of 1671 townhome foreclosures. Condos are up 78.6% and Single Family Homes are up 56%.
The price ranges of homes in foreclosure is also very interesting. There is a direct relationship between price range and lender-meidated activity. The more affordable the market segment, the more common foreclosures and short sales become. The number of lender-mediated properties for sale continues to grow significantly, while traditional sellers hold back in response to a slower market. Seasonal changes in our market means that fewer traditional sellers list their homes in Q3 and Q4 every year resulting in a downturn in sales from October through January.
If I were in the market to buy a home…now would be the time. Mortgage rates seem to be poised to improve making it the best time in a long time for first time home buyers. FHA loans are the order of the day. The $7500 tax credit that first time home buyers can take advantage of is also another carrot that is being dangled to help stimulate the housing market.
Once the first time home buyers start buying, this should provide the push the housing market needs to get going again. One last observation regarding foreclosures; while the growing market share of lender-mediated propertiesis dragging the overall median price down substantially, the true picture for traditional sellers is very different when looked at closer. Traditional properties that are not lender-mediated sales are experiencing quieter value declines.
Marketwide, values are in decline as the market remains firmly in the buyer’s favor. Foreclosures are seeing faster declines as financial institutions are pricing them to move quickly, and property conditions for these homes also decrease their value.
Bottom line - if you don’t have to sell now - then DON’T!!!! The faster we can get the foreclosure inventory sold off, the better for traditional sellers. If you are a buyer taking advantage of the vast opportunites out there, have a five-year plan to stay in the home that you purchase. You will need to make that commitment if you want to realize any appreciation. If you think that you will need to move within 5 years, then stay renting.
For more information on the market click on the report above or visit www.mplsrealtor.com to research your local market. If you have questions about how to go about buying a foreclosed home, call me at 612-767-3982. I have gotten quite good at it and I would be happy to help point you in the right direction.